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TSMC’s profit jumps 77% to a record as AI chip demand sells out its factories

Victor Maslow

The world’s most important chip factory is booked solid — and it just reported the biggest revenue quarter in its history.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, the Taiwanese foundry that fabricates chips for Nvidia, Apple, AMD, and nearly every company driving the artificial intelligence infrastructure build-out, posted $40.2 billion in revenue for the three months ending June 30 — a 36% jump year-over-year and a record for any quarter in TSMC’s 35-year history. Net income surged 77.4% to NT$706.56 billion, and gross margin hit 67.7%. TSMC raised its full-year revenue-growth outlook to slightly above 40%.

The data point buried in the earnings call matters beyond the headline numbers: TSMC’s CoWoS advanced packaging — the specialized process that stacks AI accelerator chips at the density Nvidia’s H100 and B200 hardware requires — is sold out through the end of 2026. No new capacity can be allocated this calendar year. The companies building AI infrastructure are competing for a finite physical resource, and TSMC controls most of it.

That constraint has consequences outside the quarterly filing. It sets a hard ceiling on how fast hyperscalers can expand the data centers their AI products require, and it concentrates pricing power in the hands of a single foundry on a single island. Capital spending guidance was raised to between $18.75 billion and $20 billion for the year — a capacity expansion race that TSMC is running, but one that takes years, not quarters, to close.

The earnings print confirms what the AI investment thesis has assumed but not yet proven at this scale: demand is real, durable, and currently exceeding what the most sophisticated supply chain in modern manufacturing history can produce. TSMC’s high-performance computing segment — driven almost entirely by AI chips — is now the company’s largest revenue category, overtaking smartphones for the first time.

The skeptics have a point worth tracking. TSMC’s results are only as durable as the capital spending commitments of the hyperscalers placing orders. Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Meta have collectively pledged more than $300 billion in AI infrastructure investment this year; should any of those commitments slow or reverse, TSMC’s extraordinary margins would face pressure. The company’s guidance also rests on 2nm process yields continuing to improve on schedule — a commercial ramp that is still in its early months.

The geopolitical backdrop is unchanged by a strong quarter. TSMC operates the world’s most critical semiconductor nodes from a location at the center of one of the most contested sovereignty disputes on the planet. The United States has committed $50 billion under the CHIPS Act to bring TSMC manufacturing onto American soil, but its Phoenix plants remain years behind the cutting-edge capabilities in Hsinchu and Tainan.

TSMC’s next earnings release is scheduled for October 2026.

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