Analysis

Tennis star Novak Djokovic beats Vacherot at the Paris Masters, and his Turin logic holds

Molly Se-kyung
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Novak Djokovic came to the Paris Masters chasing a place at the ATP Finals, the event he twice declined when he had already earned a seat. Cédric Pioline, the tournament director, said on Eurosport that he could not follow the logic. Then Valentin Vacherot, the Monegasque who had just won Basel and who had beaten Djokovic in their only previous meeting, took the first set off him in the opening round.

Djokovic came back to win, and the chase to Turin survives another day. The contradiction Pioline describes is smaller than it looks. Read Djokovic’s own explanations, given in Athens, Beijing and now Paris, and a single rule appears: he plays the weeks he believes his body can finish at the level the event demands. This season, the Race to Turin itself became the test of whether it can.

That distinction matters beyond one draw. Every ageing champion is asked the same lazy question, whether he still wants it. Djokovic’s case shows a better one: which contests he still picks, and why. Pioline’s puzzle is the clearest public version of that question, and the champion has already answered it, in his own words, more than once.

Why Novak Djokovic skipped Turin twice after qualifying

The record Pioline points to is real. Djokovic qualified for the ATP Finals in 2024 and pulled out, citing what he called an ongoing injury. A year later he did it again, more starkly. In Athens he beat Lorenzo Musetti 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 for the 101st title of his career and withdrew from Turin shortly afterwards with a shoulder problem, according to the news-agency report carried by Al Jazeera. Musetti, the man he had just beaten, took his place.

What Djokovic said in Athens is the key to the puzzle. “I had to take all the strong medications to be able to play the match,” he told reporters. Then: “I felt there’s no chance for me to go through the entire tournament in Turin with the required level of tennis when you’re playing the best eight in the world.” He had also explained why he waited until after the final to decide: he “wanted to see how the matches go, how I react.” A player who had stopped caring about Turin would not have waited. He measured a week against the top eight and concluded his body would not last it.

The Race to Turin made the Paris Masters a must-win

This season the arithmetic flipped. Djokovic reached the Australian Open final, where he lost to Carlos Alcaraz, and the Wimbledon semi-finals, Sky Sports noted, but the second half came apart. Tennis Majors listed the damage: an opening loss to a qualifier in Rome, vomiting during a match in Cincinnati, and a first-round defeat by Mariano Navone at the US Open after more than four and a half hours, his first opening-round exit at a Grand Slam since 2006. In Beijing he needed two medical timeouts in two matches and still won the title, the 102nd of his career, beating Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev before Alex de Minaur retired in the final. Then came an opening loss to Hubert Hurkacz in Shanghai and a three-set defeat by Jan-Lennard Struff in Basel, the German’s first win over him in nine meetings.

Paris was supposed to be the comfortable place to make up the gap. He holds the tournament records with seven titles and 50 match wins, Tennis Majors counted, but he had skipped the two previous editions and returned for the first time since his 2023 title to a draw that offered no easy start. Pioline called the opener against Vacherot “a magnificent, magnificent match-up” at the draw ceremony, and added a line that cut both ways: “Novak is a little less effective than he was a few years ago, because the years are there.”

That left him 11th in the Race to Turin with 2,900 points. Jannik Sinner is out for the season, so ninth place is the last ticket, and Rafael Jodar held it with 3,194. Tennis Majors did the sums before the first ball in Paris: a quarter-final would take Djokovic to 3,090, still short; the semi-finals, at 3,290, are the minimum to stay alive; only the title, at 3,890, guarantees his place. Zverev, Alcaraz, Ben Shelton and Medvedev were already in. Seeded tenth, Djokovic had no first-round bye, and Yahoo Sports pointed out that he had not reached the quarter-finals of any Masters 1000 event all year.

Pioline’s case against Djokovic’s logic, at full strength

The tournament director’s objection deserves its best version. Pioline is not a pundit taking a cheap shot; he runs the event that profits from Djokovic’s presence, and he still told Eurosport, in EssentiallySports’ translation, that the pattern is “a bit unique in the history of qualified players who still dream of playing in this tournament.” The ATP Finals is the one event outside the majors that players treat as the reward for a whole season. Skipping it twice while eligible, then chasing it while ineligible, looks like a player choosing his stage instead of accepting the calendar. And a late withdrawal hands the place to whoever is next in line, settled by a statement and not by a match.

There is a sharper version too. If the body is the reason, why chase a week the body has twice refused? Pioline himself said, in Tennis World USA’s account of the broadcast, that “the body doesn’t react as quickly, and recovery becomes more difficult.” Patrick Mouratoglou has suggested, Tennis Majors reported, that the stress of not feeling ready was behind Djokovic’s problems on court. On that reading, the Paris push is not logic at all. It is a champion refusing to let a season end on someone else’s terms, at the price of the very stress that has been hurting him.

What Djokovic’s own words say about the Turin logic

The answer sits in the order of his sentences. In Beijing, after the second timeout, he said his problem was “not stamina. It’s something else. More related to health,” and declined to say what. In the same press conference he set the condition plainly: “this year I would like to play if I qualify.” If. The qualification is the test, and the test is whether the body holds through the matches that earn it.

On the eve of Paris, answering Tennis Majors, he went further. “This year the focus shifted to feeling well on the court, because for most of the tournaments that I played, and I didn’t play many, it was health-wise a big struggle,” he said. “Whenever I felt better on the court, and lately that has been the case, we’re really getting closer to solving what I have been going through in the last four months.” He had a word for the commentators, too: “I see there’s a lot of people that love to express their expert opinion on knowing exactly what’s happening with me. But they don’t.”

In Basel, in remarks carried by Sky Sports, he named what drives him: “That’s also what motivates me: seeing how I can match up with players 15-plus years younger than me.” A guaranteed seat in Turin tests nothing. A Race with one tournament left, against Jodar, de Minaur, Taylor Fritz and Frances Tiafoe, tests exactly that.

Read this way, the two decisions follow one rule. Qualified and injured, he declined a week he believed he could not finish at the level it demands. Unqualified and, by his own account, finally feeling better on court, he chose the only route that makes him prove it first. Pioline’s confusion comes from treating Turin as the prize. For Djokovic at 39, the proof is the prize.

What the Paris Masters settled for Djokovic, and what it leaves open

The verified part is short. Djokovic beat Vacherot 6-7 (5), 7-5, 6-1 in the first round of the Paris Masters, after losing the opening set on a tie-break. The Monegasque had won Basel two days earlier, beating Jodar, Fritz and Jiri Lehecka, and had beaten Djokovic 6-3, 6-4 in the Shanghai semi-finals in 2025 on his way to the Shanghai title. The Grandstand, a tennis preview site, had picked Djokovic in two sets, betting on Vacherot’s fatigue after Basel; it took three, and the last was the most one-sided. The win is worth 40 Race points, which on Tennis Majors’ figures leaves the arithmetic unchanged: Djokovic still needs at least the semi-finals to stay in contention, and only the title makes Turin certain. Qualifier Rinky Hijikata is next, with de Minaur, a direct rival for the last places, projected in the third round. The ATP Finals run from November 15 to 22 at Turin’s Inalpi Arena.

The rest is interpretation, and MCM’s is above: the logic Pioline cannot follow is a rule about the body, applied consistently. What nobody outside Djokovic’s team knows is what the health problem is; he has refused to name it. Nor does anyone know whether this is his last Paris. Pioline told the crowd to make the most of Novak, “because if it’s not his last appearance here, it’s maybe his second-to-last,” and, on Eurosport, left it as a question: “Will he be back next year? Naturally, there’s a question mark.” Djokovic has given his own condition for the weeks ahead. If he qualifies, he plays. For now he is still qualifying.

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